Yesterday afternoon we had some scattered strong storms in the region. I mentioned yesterday that we had a weak upper level low over us. Well… we did. However, the models underestimated the coverage and strength of some of the storms. We even had several warnings. Things have changed since then. Now the upper level low has moved out to sea.
Remember, this is in the upper levels. So we won’t have that upper level instability today. At the surface high pressure is building in a little stronger. Plus, our surface winds are starting to turn to out of the southwest.
Therefore we’ll have less rain chances today due to this setup. 20% during the afternoon and 30% during the early evening. It is going to be hot and humid. High temps will rise up to the low-mid 90s. The heat index will rise to near 100.
By tomorrow the wind will pick up a bit out of the southwest. We’ll heat up even more. Highs will be in the mid 90s with some upper 90s inland. The heat index will probably rise to around 105 for some of the area. This could prompt a heat advisory from the National Weather Service. We’ll be partly cloudy. There will only be isolated showers and storms. A cool front will drift down this way on Thursday. We’ll cool down slightly. Highs will be near 90. We’ll have a few showers and storms with the front. Unfortunately, it looks like the front will drift back north and stall out over the weekend. So we’ll have a mix of sun and clouds with some scattered showers and storms each day. Hopefully, we’ll be able to drop the rain chances before the weekend arrives. It will totally depend on where that front sets up. So stay tuned for updates.
In the tropics there is still a tropical disturbance in the central Atlantic. It now has a medium chance for formation in the next couple of days. However, it is running out of real estate before it moves over some cooler waters.
It should stay well out to sea
Meanwhile hurricane Hector is a strong category 4 hurricane in the Pacific Ocean. It still looks like it will pass about 150 miles south of the Hawaiian islands. It might bring some high waves to the island, but the worst of the weather should stay offshore.
Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler