As this system approaches from the south, many have their eyes on whether or not it will fall as rain or snow across the Hampton Roads. The good news is, most of this will fall as rain and we won’t be dealing with a wintry mess! There is a possibility for some flakes the closer you get to the I-95 corridor, but even then the ground is above freezing so it won’t have the chance to accumulate.
The rain coming up from the south is going to meet up with the cold air from the north, so that’s when we’ll see this changeover happening. Lows Sunday night into Monday will be in the upper 30s so the chance of seeing accumulating snow will be rather low, but I don’t want to rule it out for areas father inland- Franklin, Emporia, Southampton, Wakefield. Starting out in the morning on Sunday that’s when those areas could see a wintry mix but by the early afternoon, it will just be widespread rain.
Rainfall totals will be on the high side, from 0.75-1.50″ from Sunday into early Monday morning. If any snow does try to stick to the ground, the rain will melt it away soon after. The ratio for typical snow storms is 1 inch of rain equals 10 inches of snow! So if we were cold enough, this could be a winter disaster. That’s why the gradient is so steep as you travel to the west, a lot of moisture and west of I-95 will be much colder than here.
The other side of this storm that we’re keeping an eye on is the wind gusts. They could reach upwards of 40 mph Sunday night into Monday which could pull down trees, and power lines. This along with the potential for flooding in flood prone areas will be the worst part of the storm for us. Be weather prepared this weekend!
Enjoy the dry weather on Saturday for the rain arrives! –Meteorologist Casey Lehecka