We are coming off of a pretty good weekend. There were a few showers and storms in the region, but not too many. Today we probably wouldn’t see much rain at all, but there is a weak upper level disturbance overhead. This is far different from the huge upper level trough (dip in the jet stream) that was over the Midwest all last week. This is actually a smaller piece of it that is riding east today. Meanwhile at the surface there is an area of high pressure just offshore.
Between the upper level pocket of energy and the heat and humidity today, we’ll pop up a few showers and storms this afternoon. The chance for rain is 30%. High temps will be near 90. The heat index will be in the mid-upper 90s. Tomorrow we’ll lose the weak upper level low. High pressure will build in stronger. So we’ll have less rain chances (20%/isolated). High temps will warm a little more as the wind turns a bit more out of the southwest. So highs will be in the low-mid 90s. The heat index will be near 100. We’ll see the same on Wednesday, but the southwest wind may pick up a little. That will help to bump the temps up to the mid 90s. A cool front will move through Wednesday night. That should cool use down a little by Thursday. Highs will be in the 80s. We may dry out a little as well. Stay tuned.
There is one weak disturbance in the Atlantic. It is several hundred miles east of Bermuda. It has a low chance for formation, and it should stay out to sea anyway.
At the same time…There is hurricane in the eastern Pacific Ocean called Hector. Over the last couple of days, this had a chance to head towards Hawaii. However, in the last 24 hours, the models are showing more of a track that will be south of the big island.
There may be a few impacts, but we’ll see how far the hurricane stays to the south.
Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler