Blog: From Spring To Winter Within 2 Days.

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SATRAD_672737

A few days ago we broke 2 record low temperatures.  Today we will challenge a record high temperature.  Then we’ll have highs in the 30s by Sunday.  Whiplash!  Today we have a stream of warm/humid air coming up from the south.  High pressure is still sitting offshore.  There is a strong cold front over the Tennessee and Ohio River Valleys.

Regional Weather Map
Regional Weather Map

The dew points in our region have increased to the 60s.  The increased humidity led to one very cool effect in the area.  The air temeratures are in the 60s, and the dew points are high.  However, the water temperatures are still cold (30s and 40s).  So there was some thick fog over some of the local waterways.  I got a good shot of fog rolling over the James River Bridge this morning.

If you look closely there is a boat that is moving under the bridge.  This effect could last through the day.  So be careful boaters.  The fog shouldn’t be over too many land areas as the ground is warming up.  Also, there is a lot of wind.  However, the visibility may be reduced by heavy rain later today. This morning there was a column of moderate to heavy rain just east of I-95.

The rain will slide east today.  This will increase the coverage greatly in Hampton Roads from the late morning into the afternoon.

The rain could be heavy at times as deep moisture moves up from the south.  It will be so warm that a couple of thunderstorms are possible. You know the folklore….If you get lightning this time of year, then snow usually follows within 10 days.  We’ll see.   “How warm will it be?” do you ask.  I’ve got temperatures aiming for the 70s this afternoon.  Low-mid 70s.  The record high for today is 75 degrees (1890) according to the NWS. It will be cooler near the shore.  Much cooler in some places.  In fact Manteo briefly dropped to the 40s this morning after a while in the 60s.  The Eastern Shore will also probably be cooler.  Winds are out of the south at 10-20mph with gusts up to 25mph.

Showers will taper off for a bit this evening.  Then we will get a second wave of rain around midnight.

This will be the actual front driving through.  It will probably bring some brief heavy rain and even some isolated thunderstorms.   There could be some strong wind gusts for a time. Behind the front in the morning there will be a few more scattered showers.  Temps will be in the 50s in the early morning. Then temps will fall to the 40s, and they will stay there through the day.  Scattered showers are possible through midday, but the chances will drop off.  They could end as a few sleet pellets or snowflakes, but it won’t be much at all.

Anything that falls will melt as temps will be in the 40s.  We’ll keep dropping temps into Sunday.  Lows will be in the 20s.  Highs will be in the 30s.  We’ll be dry.  We’ll see similar weather on Monday.  From Tuesday into Wednesday there will be a clipper system and a cold front moving through the region.  The models differ on the forecast for this time.  The European model actually has an area of low pressure forming offshore along with those two other features.  This would create some snow showers in the region.  Meanwhile the GFS barely even has any flurries for that time frame.  It has the low forming off the coast of the northeast states. (A huge difference).  No model shows any big weather, but we’ll have to watch the forecast updates over the next couple of days.  For now I have the chance for flurries Tuesday and Wednesday.  Stay tuned!.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler

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