Blog: Cooling Off Again. Weekend Update!

Weather

A cold front has moved through the region this morning.  We are going to have cooler temperatures today.  Yesterday was excellent.  It was mostly sunny with highs in the low 70s.  Today high temperatures will be closer to 60 degrees. 

The front passed through dry this morning, and we’ll stay very dry today.  We’ll have a lot of sunshine. However, the breeze is picking up out of the north/northwest. It will run and 10-15mph with gusts to 25mph.  Tonight the winds will die down.  They will be out of the north at 5-10mph.  This will let the temperatures drop quite a bit.  Lows will be down in the 30s and 40s.  It’s easily possible that we’ll get some frost in the region again.  At least inland.  With the colder start tomorrow we’ll have a cooler day overall.  Highs will be in the upper 50s.  At least it won’t be as breezy.  Plus, we’ll still have a lot of sunshine. 

We’ll warm up a bit on Friday.  An area of low pressure will form to our south.  Moisture will increase out of the south ahead of the system.   Eventually, the moisture will lead to rain showers pushing up from the south.  So the rain chances will increase from midday into the evening.  High temps will rise to the 60s. 

Things have been changing with the Friday-Saturday forecast.  The forecast models have had an area of low pressure moving into our region on Saturday since last weekend.  Over the last 2 days the European model has been weaker, faster, and more inland with the low.  Well, it’s no surprise that the other models are now finally catching up.  This is going to have several effects on the weather if they pan out.  First off, the rain looks like it will move in sooner on Friday.  So now I have a good chance for rain during the Afternoon into Friday evening.

Rain is likely from Friday night into Saturday morning, and it could be heavy at times.  The area of low pressure will move up from North Carolina to near Virginia Beach at that time. Then it will slowly move north through the day.

Future Trak Saturday Morning

The rain showers look like they wil also migrate north, but I wouldn’t be surprised if we hold on to some drizzle or a few light scattered showers through the afternoon.  The models are also weaker now with the strength of the low.  They are more broad.  This means that there would be less wind in the region.  It will definitely be breezy, but the wind doesn’t look strong enough or long enough to cause problems with tidal flooding.  There could be some nuisance to minor tidal flooding, but so far it doesn’t look like much.  It will a couple days past the full moon.  So that could cause a slightly higher natural tide.  Keep in mind that the track of the low could still change again.  While I don’t think it would become much stronger, it is still possible that it could track a little farther offshore.  That could up the winds a little.  We still have a couple of days.  So stay tuned!

On Sunday the surface low looks to pass well to our north, but there will still be a trough overhead.  So we may still see some isolated showers, but the forecast is drier than yesterday’s forecast.  Another round of showers looks to move in on Monday. 

In the Atlantic there is a weak disturbance that has a medium chance for formation over the next few days.  The models do pick up on it, but they do also keep it out to sea.  We’ll track it, but I’m not too concerned about it at this time. 

Last night Willa made landfall as a category 3 hurricane over the west coast of Mexico.  In a relatively short amount of time the storm rapidly weakened down to a tropical depression. 

The storm is currently falling apart, but it is still causing rain over central Mexico.  It wll contribute to more rain over Texas going into tomorrow.  They are still recovering from the recent flooding.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler

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