Blog: Warming Trend Starts, But Cold Could Return!


We had a cold start to the day with temperatures dropping down into the 20s and 30s this morning, but the warming trend starts now. Luckily we’ve lost the northerly winds, and there is a lot of sunshine.

So we’ll have a pretty nice day with some quick warming. High temps will rise to the upper 50s this afternoon. There will be a few 60s inland/south. Winds will be light out of the east/southeast. It’s good outdoor weather, but the tree pollen is moderate to high, and there are still some mold spores out there. Keep that in mild allergy sufferers.

High pressure is over the region, but it is slowly sliding offshore. We’ll develop light southeasterly winds on the back side of the high.

Notice that there is a big weather feature developing across the central U.S. There is a warm front and a strengthening area of low pressure out there. This is due to a huge clash of the airmasses. Very warm air will push north across the central U.S. while much colder air drifts east across the Rockies. 

The pressure will drop so much in the next 24 hours that some places are forecasting winds up to 70mph. That is near hurricane force winds. 

Locally we won’t get those types of winds, but we will get the warmer temps. Tomorrow we’ll have partly cloudy skies and a south breeze. So high temperatures will rise to near 70.

We’ll be dry all day. Then the south winds will pick up a little more on Friday. High temps will rise to the mid-upper 70s. This will be about 20 degrees above average. However, the moisture will also increase.  So we’ll have increasing clouds. There will be some scattered showers developing later in the day.  Perhaps with a few thunderstorms. Then the rain will increse during the evening.

The showers should move out by Saturday morning. However, the timing of the rain moving in/out varies among the models. The GFS and European models have rain moving in during the afternoon into the evening. However, the NAM model has it mostly coming in during the evening and overnight. The NAM is also later in moving out the rain. 

For now, I’m hopeful that the rain will move out by the time the St. Patrick’s Day parade in Ocean View starts. Then we should have some clearing. There’s still time for the models to come together. So stay tuned for updates.

The cold front will move offshore on Saturday, but temps won’t cool down too much. Highs will be in the low–mid 60s.  Even cooler air will move in on Sunday. Highs will be in the low 50s with partly cloudy skies. Temperatures from early to the middle of next week could be chilly. High temps could be in the 40s for a day. Lows will probably drop back down to around freezing. Typically, it is late March or early April before our last frost occurs. So keep that in mind when you are deciding on putting out your potted plants. 

 Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler

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