11 p.m. update: The storms that were supposed to head through our area at midnight came through earlier than expected, and are now starting to move out of the area.
Click here for coverage of Friday’s storms.
We have been waiting for this day for quite awhile. So let’s start with the good news. The storm prediction center has shifted the areas which will likely see the strongest storms just to our west with a Moderate risk (numerous severe storms) around Raleigh and near Richmond. The Hampton Roads cities are in the Slight Risk which means we can still see severe weather, but the chances are a little lower. Another piece of good news is that the models are agreeing with the timing.
The line of storms should move into the area before midnight. A tornado watch is in effect for the entire Hampton Roads region and parts of northeast North Carolina until 12 a.m. Saturday.
However, there is a zone that might see some t-storm activity in the mid-afternoon, that is close to Williamsburg.
If these do develop, there is a chance that they could be strong. Keep an eye on radar early this afternoon. The southside cities, Eastern Shore and NE North Carolina shouldn’t see these storms at this time.
Do you see how there is a little curvature to that line of storms? That might indicate that we could see straight-line winds in excess of 60 mph. Even with the storms earlier in the day, the atmosphere will rain unstable and supportive for severe storms.
At this point, the heavy rain will continue across our area. We will see showers and t-storms continue. Heavy rain and some flooding is possible. Most of us could see rainfall totals between 1 and 3 inches.
I have high wind gusts and flooding risk as the greatest threat for the storms tonight. The winds will come first, then the rain will continue until sunrise Saturday morning. The rest of the weekend will be dry with mostly cloudy skies expected Easter Sunday and highs in the 60s.
Meteorologist Jeff Edmondson