Today is going to be a mess, and in several ways. The weather is definitely going to be wet and windy. It will be a complete washout! We already started to see widespread rain in the region this morning. Meanwhile there was wintry weather over northern and northwestern Virginia.
The rain was light, but winds were already gusting to about 30mph out of the northeast. An area of low pressure is headed right for our region.
Upper level winds were pushing the moisture up well north of the low. This ran into a colder airmass located from northern Virginia to the Great Lakes region. So there was ice and snow in that region. We’ll be too warm for that locally. The surface low will move right into Hampton Roads this afternoon. This will create strong winds and heavy rain. Not only will there be widespread rain this afternoon, but there will be downpours at times.
The heavy rain will be wind driven. Winds will be out of the northeast at 15-25mph with gusts to 35mph. Near the coast there may be gusts between 40-50mph.
The strong wind will create some brief minor tidal flooding between 1 and 4pm. The high tide at Sewell’s Point will be at 2:40pm.
My concern is that this will create poor drainage while the heaviest rain falls. This could make it tough for some folks to get around during he mid-late afternoon. Many leaves may clog the gutters. So that will add to the problem in some neighborhoods. This is going to impact some school systems as they get out as well as some folks getting off of work. There is a Flood Watch for the entire region. We will have 1-2″ of solid rain. A few areas may get 3″.
To add salt to the wound…. There may be some strong storms near and east of the center of the low today. There is a slight risk for severe weather over Dare County with a marginal risk up to Elizabeth City. Strong gusty winds will be the main threat, but an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out in that zone.
The rain showers and the wind will start to taper off by this evening. Probably towards the end of the evening commute.
We’ll clear out late tonight as the low quickly jets off to our northeast. Low temps will drop to the 40s. There may be a few 30s inland and north. Tomorrow high pressure will build in form the west. We’ll have a westerly breeze at 10-15mph with partly sunny skies. Highs will be in the 50s. The weekend is looking pretty good. We’ll have fair skies and highs in the 50s. For now the weather looks good for the Grand Illumination parade in Norfolk.
Be safe on the roads later today. Stay tuned for updates.
Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler