As forecast, an area of low pressure has formed off the coast of the Carolinas. It is moving along a front that stalled out yesterday. Rain and moisture are moving north/northeast along with the low.
The system will track north/northeast today. It will push a lot of moisture up into our region. So the rain chances will keep increasing. We’ll have a few showers already by midday, but the rain will become more widespread by the late afternoon into the evening.
We could see some heavy rain along the coast for a time. The rest of the region should see steady to moderate rain with a few pockets of heavier showers mixed in. The rain will be widespread this evening, and it will be wind-driven. So the evening commute could be a real mess.
However, it should start moving out already between 9 p.m. and 11 p.m. We could see about 1-2 inches of rain over the Outer Banks, but the rest of the region will see about a half an inch. We could get about an inch or a little more over Virginia Beach if the heavy rain lingers there for a time.
The wind will increase as the low moves just offshore of the Virginia coast. By the afternoon, winds will be out of the northeast at 10 mph to 20 mph with some gusts to 25 mph. Gusts to 30 mph over the Outer Banks. Then this evening, we could have some gusts to 30 mph near the shore with gusts to 45 mph or higher over the Outer Banks. Especially towards the southern half.
As of this writing, there is a wind advisory for Virginia Beach and Currituck County. There is a High Wind Warning over the Outer banks. These are from the late afternoon until about 1-2am.
This system will move to the northeast too fast to create tidal flooding for most of the region. However, there may be some minor tidal flooding along the Outer Banks on the Sound-Side this evening.
The bottom line on this is that most of the region will be fine as we’ll be on the edge of the system. However, conditions along the coast will be pretty windy for a time. Plus, we could get some heavy rain for a brief time.
All of this will clear out by tonight between 9 p.m. and 11 p.m. Then we’ll have nice weather tomorrow. We’ll have clearing skies with highs in the 60s. It gets even better on Thursday, with mostly sunny skies and highs in the low 70s. We’ll stay warm Friday through the weekend. However, we’ll have some scattered showers on Friday. Plus, an isolated shower or two could fall between Saturday and Sunday. It looks like a pretty low chance for that so far though. Stay tuned for updates.
Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler