Blog: Brief Warming Before An Arctic Blast


Today will be a fairly quiet day before some active weather moves into the region. I wouldn’t exactly say it’s the “calm before the storm,” but I will say that we’ll have some big changes in the weather this week.

We are starting with a stationary front and an area of low pressure offshore today. There is also a cool front that is stalling out over North Carolina.

These features caused a few showers over the southern Outer Banks this morning. We had clouds over the rest of the region. High pressure was off to our northwest. All of these features will slide a little east today.

So the clouds and showers should gradually push offshore. We’ll have a north breeze through the day at 5-15 mph. A few higher gusts near the shore. This will keep temps in the 40s for highs, despite the clearing. 

Tomorrow, we’ll have a warm front kick-in from the southwest. This will promote some nice warming. High temps will push up to the upper 50s by the early afternoon. Clouds will increase through the region. We won’t have much rain during the day, but some isolated showers are possible late in the afternoon.

A strong cold front will drop in during the evening from the west/northwest. There will be some rain showers ahead of the front. Then it will turn into a wintry mix. 

It might briefly turn into a light snow, but temps will probably still be above freezing as it falls. It may be cold enough for a light dusting on some grassy surfaces, but even that may be tough to produce.

There may be a little more than a dusting between the Middle Peninsula and Northern Neck, but I still don’t think much. Maybe about a half inch. We’ll see. The roads should be fine into Wednesday morning. The window for the mix is small as we’ll already dry out by about 11pm. 

Details may change a bit. So stay tuned. 

We’ll be dry and colder on Wednesday with highs in the upper 30s. The Midwest will be in the deep freeze at that time.  The HIGH temps up there may only be in the 0 to -15 degree range. That’s minus 15. 

Wednesday's Temperature Forecast

Locally, we’ll drop to near 20 degrees by Thursday morning. Then we’ll really feel the cold blast. High temps will only be in the upper 20s to low 30s Thursday afternoon. It will also be breezy. By Thursday night low temps will drop down to the teens.  Wind chills may be near zero on Friday morning. That will be tough at the local bus stops. We’ll gradually warm up into the weekend. 

One model does have some sprinkles/flurries on Friday, but the European model is dry that day. We’ll have updates. 

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler

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