NEWPORT NEWS, Va. (WAVY) - The latest poll out of Christopher Newport University’s Wason Center for Public Policy still has Democratic candidate Terry McAuliffe leading the governor’s race.
In the newest poll, released Tuesday, McAuliffe is leading Republican candidate Ken Cuccinelli 46 percent to 39 percent among likely voters, with Libertarian candidate Robert Sarvis polling at 11 percent. In an Oct. 8 poll by CNU, McAuliffe was leading 47 percent to Cuccinelli’s 38 percent, with Sarvis polling at 8 percent.
The contrast remains strong among female voters, with women supporting McAuliffe 51 percent to Cuccinelli’s 37 percent. Seven percent of women back Sarvis. The numbers are closer among men, with 44 percent supporting McAuliffe and 44 percent supporting Cuccinelli. 15 percent of men support Sarvis.
“The wild card in this race continues to be Robert Sarvis and the 15% of voters who are either taking refuge in his third-party candidacy or are still undecided,” said Dr. Quentin Kidd, director of the Wason Center for Public Policy. “If those numbers hold, Virginia may elect a governor with less than 50% of the vote for the first time since an extreme segregationist party splintered the establishment Byrd conservatives in 1965.”
The poll was conducted Oct. 8 through Oct. 13 and surveyed 944 registered voters including 753 likely voters in the Commonwealth of Virginia. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percent.
According to the Wason Center, the politics of the government shutdown is weighing negatively on Cuccinelli’s campaign. Of the 13 percent of voters who say the Democratic and Republican candidates for governor have some responsibility for the shutdown, 47 percent say Cuccinelli bears the most blame, with only 7 percent blaming McAuliffe. 42 percent say both are equally responsible.
In the race for lieutenant governor, Democrat Ralph Northam is leading Republican E.W. Jackson 51 percent to 39 percent among likely voters.
The race for attorney general is closer, with Republican Mark Obenshain leading Democrat Mark Herring 46 percent to 45 percent.
Virginia voters will decide the outcome of each race on Nov. 5.
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